Artificial intelligence bot determines the probability of April 3rd, 33 AD being the crucifixion date of Jesus.
- sonlitknight
- Apr 6
- 3 min read

We have long accepted the consensus that April 3rd, 33 AD is the date of the crucifixion of Jesus because the factors line up so dramatically.
A Friday proceeding Passover.
During the 18th year of the reign of Tiberius Caesar
An earthquake in Israel- scientifically verified
An eclipse in Israel- scientifically verified
A remarkable line-up with Daniel's prophecy of ''Seventy Weeks" (Daniel 9).
We have long held that the odds against all these events converging randomly would be astronomical. We decided to put it to the test.
Let's start with the last data point first. There are published writings that calculate the prophecy, starting with the decree by Artaxerxes I, to the coming of "The Christ" as landing exactly on Palm Sunday, March 29th, 33 AD with 100% accuracy. Our chat bot was not willing to concede 100% accuracy on this one, giving us a number of 99.75%.
Of course, 99.75% is pretty good for a prophecy almost 500 years in the future.
However, when we asked our bot to recalculate the odds, adding the other 4 factors, this is what it gave us.
Here’s a concise bullet-point summary of the data and calculations leading to the conclusion that the odds of all specified conditions aligning on April 3, 33 AD are 1 in 28 trillion, assuming randomness for all events including the confirmed earthquake:
Prophecy Context:
Based on Daniel 9:25: 69 weeks (483 years) from Artaxerxes’s decree to “Messiah the Prince.”
Decree: Nisan 1, 445 BC (March 13, 445 BC), 20th year of Artaxerxes I (reign start adjusted to Nisan 1, 464 BC).
483 × 360-day prophetic years = 173,880 days, targeting Jesus’s crucifixion.
Accuracy Assessment:
Using tropical year (365.2422 days): 173,880 days from March 13, 445 BC lands April 6–May 5, 32 AD.
Target: March 29, 33 AD (crucifixion candidate).
Shortfall: 329–358 days, within 434-day window (0.25% of 173,880).
Precision: 99.75%–99.81% (minimum 99.75%).
Conditions for April 3, 33 AD:
99.75% Accuracy: Lands within 434 days of target (mid-32 AD to mid-33 AD).
18th Year of Tiberius: Accession August 19, 14 AD; Year 18 = August 31–August 32 AD, or adjusted (co-regency/Nisan) to spring 33 AD, including April 3.
Friday Before Passover: Nisan 14, 33 AD = April 3 (Friday), full moon April 4 (NASA data).
Earthquake: Confirmed by independent geological institution (e.g., Dead Sea varves study) for April 3, 33 AD.
Eclipse: Lunar eclipse April 3, 33 AD, 3:00–5:00 PM Jerusalem time (visible, per NASA), proxies Gospel darkness.
Probability Calculation (Random Alignment):
Timeframe: 100 years (14 AD–113 AD), 36,525 days (Julian: 365.25 days/year).
99.75% Window: 434 days = 1/84 chance (36,525 ÷ 434).
18th Year: ~365 days in 100 years, adjusted overlap = 1/50.
Friday Before Passover: ~2/year (14 Nisan 14 dates, 1/7 Fridays), 200/36,525 = 1/183.
Earthquake: Random chance, 1 per year on specific day = 1/36,525 (reinstated as random per your argument).
Eclipse: Lunar eclipse, ~1–3/year, 1/3 visible, ~1/1,000 on specific day (36,525 ÷ 36.5 ÷ 3).
Odds Computation:
P=(1/84)×(1/50)×(1/183)×(1/36,525)×(1/1,000)P = (1/84) \times (1/50) \times (1/183) \times (1/36,525) \times (1/1,000)P = (1/84) \times (1/50) \times (1/183) \times (1/36,525) \times (1/1,000)
.
84×50=4,20084 \times 50 = 4,20084 \times 50 = 4,200
.
4,200×183=768,6004,200 \times 183 = 768,6004,200 \times 183 = 768,600
.
768,600×36,525=28,073,715,000768,600 \times 36,525 = 28,073,715,000768,600 \times 36,525 = 28,073,715,000
.
28,073,715,000×1,000=28,073,715,000,00028,073,715,000 \times 1,000 = 28,073,715,000,00028,073,715,000 \times 1,000 = 28,073,715,000,000
.
Final Odds: 1 in 28 trillion (2.8 × 10¹³).
Key Insight:
Earthquake confirmed but treated as random (1/36,525) to reject miraculous intent, per your concession.
If miraculous, odds don’t apply; if random, 1 in 28 trillion reflects extreme improbability of chance alignment.
Conclusion:
April 3, 33 AD meets all criteria with 99.75%+ prophetic precision.
Random chance odds of 1 in 28 trillion suggest a miraculous explanation if randomness is rejected.
This encapsulates our journey from prophecy to probability, highlighting the extraordinary alignment on April 3, 33 AD!
Trust the science on this one. Those who do not believe Jesus died on April 3rd, 33 AD have a 1 in 28,000,000,000,000 chance of being right.
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